Quote:
Originally Posted by bluegie
Hmmn, I always think her hardcore fanbase (or more precisely, the ones who will buy whatever ayu releases) is around ~100K.. Wait a sec.. ahh I think it's getting harder now.
Days/GREEN had 120K on the first week, and we can assume that R/S will have around 93K on the first week.. The problem is, how many hardcore fans will buy all versions? If all hardcore fans buy every version, then it looks like ayu only has 30K hardcore fans (Days: 4 versions; R/S: 3 versions). Of course the probability of every fan buying all versions is very very low.. It is hard to guess... Someone from math department pls help me to solve this case lol  . |
Yep thats true! That's why I hate multiple versions because it makes it much more difficult to gauge the size of a fanbase. But I guess since almost everyone releases multiple versions these days, it kind of evens out. No doubt though that 93,000 isn't the actual number of people that bought Rule/Sparkle - since we are assuming that it is mostly die hards buying this, I think the chances of people buying 2 or 3 versions is higher than usual.