All Ayu singles have been sold in more than 100k except Poker Face, You and For My Dear... so I don't think this single should flop so much. It would be nice if it would just oversell BLUE BIRD. But I was really suprised because 3 SPLASH had a solid promotion, 3 A-sides (all perfect for Japanese audience and summer) and it floped again and probably won't sell more than 100k. But to be honest Koda's singles don't do as well as Ayu's. And it's hard to compare artists sometimes.
So we'll just see