Ayumi Hamasaki Sekai - View Single Post - You were.../BALLAD information thread [II]

Bigtop · #**480** 1st November 2009, 05:26 AM

I really have confidence that she could reach #1, and here's why:

Earlier, we have talked about concerns that Matchy will be releasing the single close to Ayu's release. Here are some quotes: (open spoiler for more)

Spoiler:

But I might have the confidence because of their past performance, the fact that I think the past fans of Matchy are kind of quite old that they might just have to get busy with their lives, and maybe their off-date: (also open spoiler for more)

Spoiler:

Quote:

Originally Posted by SunshineSlayer

^ I think it all depends on how much he actually promotes it. The last single I think I remember him releasing was sometime around 2005 - he did lots of tv promotion and I think it sold fairly well. But then I just read that last year he released a single that sold next to nothing though. However, that may have been some kind of special limited release or something because I don't remember hearing anything about it and I follow both Oricon and Johnny's.

Quote:

Originally Posted by KarenPang

I know that he formed a temporary unit with Johnny Junior band QUESTION ? 4 years ago & they released a single for the NARUTO - Shippuden anime called Mezamero! Yasei & the band was called MATCHY with QUESTION ?

& that's true , it all depends on how much promo's being given to Matchy since man he's a legend in the talent agency so there

-MOTTO- will only be released in 1 edition while You were ... / BALLAD will get 3 editions

lol basically from this week all to the way to end of Nov , it's bad bad bad to release singles that's al I'm saying

Quote:

Originally Posted by Max_ZZZ

LOL see I'm not crazy

ya my friend was telling me about him... but he said not to worry? his last single was in the early 2000's and didn't sell over 100K i think?

BUT HONESTLY
after Mirrorcle World i NEEEEVER believe the "no need to worry line"
i smell an oncoming battle LOL

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rody!

according to the Japanese wikipedia, That singer had his last #1-single in 1987. After that he had many more singles, but none reached #1.. So.. I think Ayu is safe

Quote:

Originally Posted by KarenPang

^ thanks for that

the only Johnny's bands that I don't listen to are mainly the seniors like SMAP , TOKIO & the occasional MATCHY

since from that piece of info that MATCHY with QUESTION ? doesn't seem to be a strong single seller , I can't imagine for his solo singles's sales & let alone chart positions o_O

What my analysis is that Ayu is releasing at a regular date on a Wednesday, while Matchy is off on a Sunday. But usually, when you take a look at Oricon sales charts, generally the week goes between Monday and Sunday, while the sales usually start out on the day prior to the actual "official" release date.

By my estimate, Matchy could be starting from the Saturday sales ranking, while Ayu's usually starting it sales ranking from Tuesday. And generally, the most number of sales for any specified single day is at the day before the "official" release date; I think that means that Matchy could be competing more on the previous week than Ayu's, while Ayu would be competing more on the week after the week Matchy is kind of competing.

And generally, after the first day, the day sales numbers usually decline, so I think that Ayu might get a shot at this. But no matter what, I think she's on the line. Anything could really happen, as many young people today usually focus on today's scene, such as Ayu, Ayaka, Arashi and other "young" Japanese pop artists. He's 45, and Ayu's 31 - his peak was sometime in the mid-to-late 1980s, and he's no longer at his peak - he was a race car driver! So we REALLY think that Ayu's ready for it...