I was thinking like a 300 000 first week and long run 500 000, since this is a best album with CYC?, S19B and Love Story, not to say these numbers are "bad", they're not, just that I personally was expecting more. Which makes me think that is her second peak starting to end and does the release timing effect (maybe winter would have been better?).. Of course it's way too early to speculate, just voicing my thoughts out