[2/1] 'Secret' 9th Week Sales

[immel]

Remember the sales from (m)u, that evened out at around 500-1k for almost 40 weeks or something.

[HiruNoKaze]

Yea I remember some of those numbers stayed pretty constant for long stretches of time. But at least this gives sort of a lower bound. I wonder how pronounced that constant sales period is in general. Hard to model.

[DerrickRocks]

wow this album is really below ayu standards why do you guys think its selling so low?

[alternarist]

hmm.. hope that the sales will not be as bad as (m)u cos this is really a great album!

[ayu_fan929]

I say maybe around 675k total.

[emi♡]

Originally Posted by HiruNoKaze

Here's a prediction model.

Oh ya, forgot to mention that I divided 5th and 6th week sales equally. Shouldn't affect the estimate very much at all.
So I predict 656730 total units sold.

This assumes the trend continues; as you guys say, A Best 2 may very well boost sales.

glad you posted lol, i didn't think I was going to reply...but...oh well lol, at least people understand.

Originally Posted by immel

Remember the sales from (m)u, that evened out at around 500-1k for almost 40 weeks or something.

this is what I was thinking too when I first saw the model, because I told hiru that it would sell more, because this is usually what happens, and probably happened for a lot of the other albums too (i keep thinking of a ballads, but i'm not too sure). 655k is really low by my standards (but those might just be very high), however that is at an exponential decline, which is what function represents, I think that it will most definitly sell more, at a rate like what you said...and with the best albums...who knows.

[HiruNoKaze]

lol I don't really have "standards" anymore...
reminds me of too late's lyrics

[immel]

Originally Posted by DerrickRocks

wow this album is really below ayu standards why do you guys think its selling so low?

A lot of small things, but mainly that she's kept going for 8 years and her music doesn't appeal to as many as it did during her peak. It happens. She might hit another peak again, but there's very few artists who managed. At least she doesn't seem to have any plans on quitting soon.

[emi♡]

Originally Posted by HiruNoKaze

lol I don't really have "standards" anymore...
reminds me of too late's lyrics

omfg you are up early...

I try not to have standards, and I kind of just ignore the sales...i dont know why they are disappointing. According to other artists, these sales are fantastic right? Because it's ayu? I guess...

[jeffycue]

go JEWEL!!!

650K isnt that bad.

[kaue_]

It's a good number in my opinion! Not great, not bad!
Thank you for the information.

[somethinglost]

Pretty stable sales, 650K is good.. hopefully 'Secret' will get to 670K ;D

[rainday]

eek.. i was hoping secret would sell more. Although the drop between last week and this wasn't so bad, but what was up with the > 50% drop between the first and second weeks.