'LOVE' NINKI ranking - #3 - 93.10

[truehappiness]

As expected, Ayu is #3 behind JUJU's two best albums.

期待度ポイント アーティスト タイトル 発売日
155.00 ＪＵＪＵ ＢＥＳＴ　ＳＴＯＲＹ～Ｌｉｆｅ Ｓｔｏｒｉｅｓ～ 11/07
154.00 ＪＵＪＵ ＢＥＳＴ　ＳＴＯＲＹ～Ｌｏｖｅ　Ｓｔｏｒｉｅｓ～ 11/07
93.10 浜崎あゆみ ＬＯＶＥ 11/08
88.50 エアロスミス ミュージック・フロム・アナザー・ディメンション！ 11/07
61.40 ＹＵＫＩ ＢＥＴＷＥＥＮ　ＴＨＥ　ＴＥＮ 11/07
35.30 ＢＥＮＩ ＣＯＶＥＲＳ　２ 11/07
32.60 ゴスペラーズ ＳＴＥＰ　ＦＯＲ　ＦＩＶＥ 11/07
22.00 ＨＡＮ－ＫＵＮ ＶＯＩＣＥ　ＭＡＧＩＣＩＡＮ　Ⅲ～ＲＯＡＤ　ＴＯ　ＺＩＯＮ～ 11/07
21.80 Ｍｓ．ＯＯＪＡ ＷＯＭＡＮ　－Ｌｏｖｅ　Ｓｏｎｇ　Ｃｏｖｅｒｓ－ 11/07
20.00 清春 ＵＮＤＥＲ　ＴＨＥ　ＳＵＮ 11/07

Wonder how it'll pan out during the week though...

http://www.oricon.co.jp/rank/na/w/2012-11-02/

[TeamAyu2004]

nothing new there.
she was never going to get a number 1 with this and 2 is highly unlikely as well.
so sad.

[Foyuki]

though it doesn't make any sense，still a bit low ~.~

[Bigtop]

JUJU!?

Wait a minute...what's going on??? NO WAY AYU'S GETTING #1 WITH JUJU - MAYBE AYU COULD END UP #3!!!

There goes more loss of confidence on ayu for me...

[KuuXAyu-fan]

I really wonder if stores will actually care about the 11.08 release date or if they'll just put it out with the other releases on Tuesday regardless.

[tokyoxjapanxfan]

As expected. But I'm still interested to see how it pans out.

[Aderianu]

better than A SUMMER BEST ^^

[TeamAyu2004]

I would like to see this at least break the 100K for the week, but party queen didnt and ASB was even lower... :*(

[Bigtop]

Originally Posted by KuuXAyu-fan

I really wonder if stores will actually care about the 11.08 release date or if they'll just put it out with the other releases on Tuesday regardless.

Well, this 11/8 release date isn't going to help... JUJU starts 11/7, so not only Ayu has a NINKI disadvantage, she has a one-day release date disadvantage as well...

[KarenPang]

I'm not really surprised ayumi's not going to get #1 next week since JUJU is putting out 2 best albums

LOVE might probably chart lower than BENI's COVERS 2 since COVERS was an unexpected huge success but you never know

Anything goes really this coming week

[TeamAyu2004]

^ I dont think she would get any real competition from COVERS, since that album was just a LONG seller... it stuck around for weeks, and I think is still charting rather well, right?

oh, and just for comparisons!

02 79.90 Hamasaki Ayumi - A SUMMER BEST
01 171.30 Hamasaki Ayumi - Party Queen ( this one utterly failed me, lol)

01 172.30 FIVE
01 200.90 Love songs
01 229.70 Rock'n'Roll Circus
01 355.70 NEXT LEVEL
00 000.00 GUILTY (no numbers)
01 254.10 Secret
01 280.90 (miss)understood
01 125.50 MY STORY

I find it weird that my story only had 125.50... I really dont understand how these people get their numbers... I mean 400 people polled, but you can have numbers into the 500's... and something like my story where the polled only 125 people, but sold over 1 million copies... huh.

[KarenPang]

I was referring to COVERS 2 & not COVERS in my previous post

BENI is releasing her 2nd covers album next week so there's a possibility she might chart/rank in higher than LOVE

[chikocchi]

falling third to two best albums, while devastating to the fanbase, is not unexpected
especially a single marketed as a mini-album falling behind two best albums
completely understandable
however, the 90k predicted sales is what really surprised me
Maybe because the sound is more like old Ayu people in Japan are getting really excited for this mini?
although I do believe that if Ayu would have put more into promotion that sales would probably be higher
i've only seen a few things for promotion :\

[truehappiness]

NINKI's rating is NOT a sales prediction. It's a point value that comes from four groups of people that subscribe to Oricon Style being polled about the coming week's releases. (4 groups of people in their teens, twenties, thirties, and forties, I believe.)

- In the survey for anticipation (Ninki), Oricon does a research of their subscribers (87,000 people approx), out of which they take a random sample of 400 people. The survey is about "interest or degree of interest" and "purchase or degree of intention of purchase", and the results are put exponentially. The people who take part in the survey are from 10 to 40 years old, and there's the same proportion of men and women. (source)

There used to be more data about NINKI but nowadays it's just a very simple chart.

More often than not, the artists who are favored by subscribers do very well in the NINKIs. (they usually have a yearly popularity ranking which Ayu almost never appears on)

[LONJJONG]

Just hope for luck...

[freedreamer]

not only is it a mini, its released a day later officialy...so...LOL
oh well..AYU DOESNT CARE

[Chibi-Chan]

That she won't get a #1 was clear from the beginning, and I don't think it's a problem.

[setsuka]

well JUJU is releasing two albums, her fanbase isn't hardcore enough to buy both lbr therefore it will affect her sales imo

maybe the Xilla tie-in could push Ayu ahead, I would be more confident saying that if she did promo but getting first isn't impossible anyway first or third I don't care

go Ayu!

[Minttulatte]

Nah, maybe she will surprise everyone and sell platinum in the first week (I'd like to see that happen hehe).

[Delicious n Bold]

At least she's gonna go better than BENI. That's what she gets for making another MALE cover album.