[Charts & Rankings] Rule/Sparkle - ORICON STYLE - Page 16 - Ayumi Hamasaki Sekai
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  #301  
Old 28th February 2009, 09:35 AM
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Ugh... 4th day sales is usually the lowest with little or sometimes, huge boost on the weekend (which I doubt). But I think I should be happy for 80 to 90k first week sales.... hopefully 100k. But considering this single has no promos at all, the sales are doing extremely well... better than kuu's last single that also released more or less a month before her TRICK's being released. Yeah... considering that we SHOULD be really grateful that AYu can pull out such a high sales figure. She still stands strong
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Considering kumi became popular after ayu started to get less popular, I don't think it's such a good sign for kumi.
  #302  
Old 28th February 2009, 10:43 AM
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Originally Posted by SunshineSlayer View Post
I think people mention the #1 streak as a measure of her status because of the fact that she is certainly not the only woman who has had a long number 1 streak to maintain. There are several famous jpop women throughout the history of Japanese music that had #1 streaks to uphold and historically those singers always started fading from the limelight the moment they lost their streaks.
Yes, that is what I was talking about. Seiko is already a really good example. After she lost her no. 1 streak in singles, her sales (or ranking more precisely) fell sharply. It's like, her last single was no. 2 (the broken one), then the next single was already down to no. 28 . Of course she did struggle back to top 20 or she even had one no. 1 single later on, but you can see her chart life technically ends right after her no. 1 streak is broken.

She is still having a no. 1 streak at this moment because avex tries to put her releases on the safe weeks. That means, there are no strong competitors around. This applies to the artists who are still having no. 1 streaks as well. Once they meet new artists like SCS and get defeated, the magic will be gone. Do you guys believe that avex will try their best to put ayu on safe week again once the streak is gone?? 50-50 for me.

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Originally Posted by maikaru View Post
Yeah Im so surprised about how pessimistic people here are about her.. ahaha
Most people still love her, and her old songs, and songs like Days.
But her new rock songs are only appealing to the people who like Rock~

Also what this cannot tell you is how many online purchases there are for Rule and Sparkle.
I think much more people are doing that.

And without TV promotion.. it's a great sales figure.
I dun think we are pessimistic or so. Rather I'm looking into reality. No one stays on the top forever. As we worship some artists, we have to prepare for a day that they're not as popular as before. Also, if I started loving ayu after 2004, probly I wouldn't feel such strong contrast. But I was there when she was on the very top, beating practically every single artist out of her way (except hikki ). 1999 - 2003 was my favourite era because my most beloved ayu and hikki conquered the charts (single or album, monthly or yearly). Now ayu still maintains her no. 1 streak (which is a good thing btw), and hikki still has the strongest digital sales in Japan (a really good thing).

And talking about why Johnny conquers the yearly single charts nowadays... I do have a thought. Is it because their hardcore bases are pretty rigid? I mean, their sales neither increase or decrease as much as compared to 5 - 6 years ago. But other artists declines so much, so it makes them look shinier than it should be? (ahh I can't really express my thought..)
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  #303  
Old 28th February 2009, 10:47 AM
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I wish I had your problems guys...
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  #304  
Old 28th February 2009, 10:56 AM
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yaay
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  #305  
Old 28th February 2009, 10:56 AM
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^ehh.. what problems?? Did I miss out something while reading this thread???
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  #306  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:00 AM
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^I didn't understand what he meant either XDD.

Anyway I just think that there is a difference in to look in the reality in an optimistic and realistic way and dwelling the past and look at the present in pesimisstic and realistic way. It's for the observer to choose. So I do understand why some comments look really pessimistic very often. We should look into the future in optimistic and still realistic eyes.
On another note Rule is the most requested song of the week on Japan's radio and TV stations =D http://www.ahsforum.com/forum/showthread.php?t=86842

Last edited by ayumisrael; 28th February 2009 at 11:06 AM.
  #307  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:06 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SURREAL__RAINBOW View Post
yaay
i love long arguments!!


i never read them


Same here
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  #308  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:07 AM
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  #309  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:09 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by a_kingdom21 View Post
becuz this times is d golden era for arashi take a look at their sales b4 their golden era..
is kinda low..compare to d other artist at that time..
n for d 10 year they just got their peak lately that way eventough this is their 10th but their sales r huge..
as for ayu..
this is her 10th also..
but her golden era was gone few years ago..but she's still be able to maintain her sales to b the high margin..compare 2 other female artist..
Right, that's why I'm impressed by Arashi's sales right now. It almost never happens for any artist that you hit your height of popularity after you've been around for 10 yrs. Usually your golden era would happen in the first 3-4 years. And if you are a Johnny's artist, make that your first year - with SMAP and Arashi being the ultra big exceptions.

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Originally Posted by jbrat2219 View Post
I'll just be glad when it gets #1 weekly, seriously the overall sales don't really matter as much since the album will be out soon. I don't think this reflexes on whether or not she's losing popularity at all, it reflexes on Japan being smart shoppers lol.
Yeah, as I've said, all things considered these sales are pretty good. We just kinda got off onto a side topic as well.

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Originally Posted by bluegie View Post
And talking about why Johnny conquers the yearly single charts nowadays... I do have a thought. Is it because their hardcore bases are pretty rigid? I mean, their sales neither increase or decrease as much as compared to 5 - 6 years ago. But other artists declines so much, so it makes them look shinier than it should be? (ahh I can't really express my thought..)
Johnny's have had a significant sales decrease as well. The last Johnny's single to sell over a million copies was 2005 (or was it 2006? Either Dec. 05 or Jan. 06) Kattun Real Face. If this were still pre-2006, they'd be churning out a couple million sellers a year or at least would come close. I'm sure that One Love and Truth both would have made the million mark.

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yaay
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No one's even having an argument.

Last edited by SunshineSlayer; 28th February 2009 at 11:19 AM.
  #310  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:12 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ayumisrael View Post
Anyway I just think that there is a difference in to look in the reality in an optimistic and realistic way and dwelling the past and look at the present in pesimisstic and realistic way. It's for the observer to choose. So I do understand why some comments look really pessimistic very often.
Trust me, I'm not obsessed with her past and think the current her is bad or crap (lol). In fact, I think her sales are quite logical and decent. Let's say... Rule/Sparkle. It is based on 1) the single and album are close to each other, and 2) It's not a typical music that will be well-received by general public in Japan.
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  #311  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:17 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bluegie View Post
Trust me, I'm not obsessed with her past and think the current her is bad or crap (lol). In fact, I think her sales are quite logical and decent. Let's say... Rule/Sparkle. It is based on 1) the single and album are close to each other, and 2) It's not a typical music that will be well-received by general public in Japan.
Yes.
Btw what's up with today's positions? I see that oricon took a nap for a few hours =P.
  #312  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:19 AM
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No one's even having an argument.
true!
  #313  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:27 AM
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4th Day:
Position: #1
Sales: 4,082 x 1.75
Estimated Total Sales: 42,863 + 19,745 + 9,125 + 7,144 = 78,877

Awesome!!! It dropped in less than 1500 and still #1!!
Rule/Sparkle is doing way over my expectation (of 80,000 first week) lol.
It's really doing great.
2 More days for the total first week!

Last edited by ayumisrael; 28th February 2009 at 11:31 AM.
  #314  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:30 AM
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the drop was so small!!!!
i'm so glad

thanks for the infoo
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  #315  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:31 AM
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I was aiming for 70K, and it's already above my expectation since yesterday lol .

Quote:
Originally Posted by SunshineSlayer View Post
Johnny's have had a significant sales decrease as well. The last Johnny's single to sell over a million copies was 2005 (or was it 2006? Either Dec. 05 or Jan. 06) Kattun Real Face. If this were still pre-2006, they'd be churning out a couple million sellers a year or at least would come close. I'm sure that One Love and Truth both would have made the million mark.
Hmmn.. Real face... I dunno if it's a good example or not. That was KAT-TUN's debut single, with 6 different covers (limited edition) + 1 regular cover. If I was a fan I would definitely buy 2+ covers for sure (1 regular, and 1 or more for my favorite group member(s)).
My thought really is... Suppose Arashi has had 400K hardcore fans since the beginning.. and you know fangirls usually have the strongest loyalty (especially to young, handsome boybands). Let's say over the years 100K fans were gone and 300K fans remain loyal, and 70% of them usually buy all the versions whenever a single is out. So if they have two versions as a standard, then they can get at least 500 - 600K cds sold per single.. And I don't mean other artists' fans (such as ayu fans, B'z fans, kuu fans, etc.) not being loyal... It's just they may think it's cheapest (and wiser) to purchase digital formats... Of course this is not 100% true (and even logical).. But I kinda believe this is one of the possibilities..
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Last edited by bluegie; 28th February 2009 at 11:43 AM.
  #316  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:32 AM
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These are pretty normal sales patterns. I mean, 4k on the 4th day. Then there should be a slight weekend boost.
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  #317  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:33 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ayumisrael View Post
4th Day:
Position: #1
Sales: 4,082 x 1.75
Estimated Total Sales: 42,863 + 19,745 + 9,125 + 7,144 = 78,877

Awesome!!! It dropped in less than 1500 and still #1!!
Rule/Sparkle is doing way over my expectation (of 80,000 first week) lol.
It's really doing great.
2 More days for the total first week!
Aaah sweet! Thx for the update!
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  #318  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:33 AM
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Tomorrow it will finally pass mines and since it has 2 more days it will be really higher
Any copy higher will be great!

^You're welcome. ^^
  #319  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:35 AM
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I feel relieved when i see today's sales ! hope she can sell around 100k this week .
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  #320  
Old 28th February 2009, 11:38 AM
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I think it will sell around 85,000-93,000 first week looking at the sales now which is pretty good.
On the second week it will well around 8,500-15,000 and it will reach over 100,000.
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